Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.443992 16.413800 18.678118 21.502503 24.972609 29.152949 34.658203
2025-03-09 12.030423 14.482782 17.553895 21.778910 27.603784 35.620499 48.018426
2025-03-16 10.318178 12.852191 16.194114 21.085492 28.367098 39.381058 58.649717
2025-03-23 9.306398 11.914311 15.502310 21.035728 29.847006 44.385907 73.107091
2025-03-30 8.294884 10.823048 14.406034 20.143366 29.747369 46.696366 83.689888
2025-04-06 7.437441 9.845751 13.337575 19.095935 29.129185 47.850078 92.420722
2025-04-13 6.783627 9.095301 12.515415 18.306912 28.776190 49.366813 102.793972
2025-04-20 6.857386 9.416968 13.352003 20.366921 34.015262 63.972935 158.276748
2025-04-27 6.629439 9.252028 13.390791 21.038493 36.729066 74.163715 212.637282
2025-05-04 6.160909 8.671159 12.687707 20.253665 36.234195 76.204581 239.274309
2025-05-11 5.977554 8.527650 12.699649 20.808967 38.786516 87.562778 326.204522
2025-05-18 5.670379 8.159818 12.291370 20.488593 39.258130 93.134397 395.407257
2025-05-25 5.392993 7.836586 11.958261 20.330110 40.235130 101.377478 511.683776
2025-06-01 5.193414 7.629591 11.814697 20.547202 42.245778 114.632283 734.430071
2025-06-08 4.897131 7.238344 11.301802 19.910798 41.854083 118.758080 893.050617
2025-06-15 4.704746 7.012330 11.074383 19.864752 43.090427 130.555087 1276.859424
2025-06-22 4.431577 6.630550 10.526674 19.041386 41.922855 131.143545 1478.732056
2025-06-29 4.161217 6.240695 9.939857 18.073394 40.161788 128.202560 1590.731591
2025-07-06 3.938369 5.924222 9.474921 17.343085 39.002942 127.850452 1811.781555
2025-07-13 4.032526 6.171395 10.110421 19.247770 46.544412 180.945081 8125.009347
2025-07-20 3.975967 6.143557 10.202305 19.867312 50.173180 217.910154 36979.468429
2025-07-27 3.788700 5.867731 9.776288 19.143222 48.868510 218.415900 62795.278427
2025-08-03 3.732612 5.830273 9.832739 19.655643 52.274115 261.688680 NaN